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August 24 2013

c3o
01:59
If you can find within yourself the slightest shred of true uncertainty, then guard it like a forester nursing a campfire. If you can make it blaze up into a flame of curiosity, it will make you light and eager, and give purpose to your questioning and direction to your skills.
The Meditation on Curiosity - Less Wrong
Reposted bycudavreinerqueitschsober

August 10 2012

c3o
13:19
[They wanted to] investigate the causes—and possible remedies—of intergroup conflict.

How would they spark an intergroup conflict to investigate? Well, the 22 boys were divided into two groups of 11 campers, and—

—and that turned out to be quite sufficient.
The Robbers Cave Experiment - Less Wrong

September 11 2011

c3o
18:59
If you sent me to an alternate universe where politicians were honest, bureaucrats cared, and voters weren’t so irrational—a world where good-idea policy initiatives tended to actually accomplish their stated goals without unexpected negative side effects—a world where the clear and visible end result of getting governments to do more and more was that economies grew faster and faster and people became happier and happier—then, in that world, I wouldn’t be a libertarian.
Eliezer Yudkowsky | Cato Unbound
Reposted bythorben thorben

January 22 2011

c3o
23:38
Procrastination by reading random articles does not cause you to rest: You do not regain mental energy from it. Success and happiness cause you to regain willpower; what you need to heal your mind from any damage sustained by working is not inactivity, but reliably solvable problems which reliably deliver experienced jolts of positive reinforcement.
Working hurts less than procrastinating, we fear the twinge of starting – Eliezer Yudkowsky @ Less Wrong
Reposted bymonoxydmalschauen2tutusdatenwolfumruehrencliffordjaphymondkroetestarbugIntehyacintchickinsoupjotbeioskaroliuszRK

February 20 2009

c3o
04:11

Overcoming Bias: You Are Not Hiring the Top 1%

Statistical fallacy: The sample of people applying to your job/sending manuscripts to your publisher/applying to your educational program/applying for your grant/wanting to date you is likely biased towards the incompetent – because they apply at many more places, as well as more frequently.
Reposted byphilippe philippe

December 17 2008

c3o
05:20
I'm not concerned with having more of me - really, there are plenty of me already - but I do want most of me to be having fun.
— Have I mentioned I love Overcoming Bias?
Tags: wonder eliezer

December 12 2008

c3o
03:01
Intelligence is not about knowing lots of things, it's about being able to learn lots of things.
Overcoming Bias: What I Think, If Not Why (paraphrased)
Reposted bymarmeladewizard23tankietomczkrobi42brightbytecatarinoBrnLngreckon

November 26 2008

c3o
21:57
I think [it is] a sensible coping strategy for transhumanist atheists to donate to an anti-death charity after a loved one dies. Death hurt us, so we will unmake Death. Let that be the outlet for our anger, which is terrible and just.
—  Eliezer Yudkowsky
Reposted bycypher cypher

November 17 2008

c3o
09:26
[Real rebellion] doesn't feel like going to school dressed in black. It feels like going to school wearing a clown suit.

Joining a rebellion that everyone knows about is scary, but nowhere near as scary as doing something really differently.
Overcoming Bias: Lonely Dissent
via Derek Sivers
Reposted byMerariantifuchschesh

September 30 2008

c3o
12:26
One of the failure modes I've come to better understand in myself since observing it in others, is what I call, "living in the should-universe".  The universe where everything works the way it common-sensically ought to, as opposed to the actual is-universe we live in.  There's more than one way to live in the should-universe, and outright delusional optimism is only the least subtle.
Overcoming Bias: Above-Average AI Scientists
c3o
12:23
What is it that makes an executive? ... If I had to take a guess, I would call it "functioning without recourse" – living without any level above you to take over if you falter, or even to tell you if you're getting it wrong.  To just get it done, even if the problem requires you to do something unusual, without anyone being there to look over your work and pencil in a few corrections.
Overcoming Bias: Competent Elites
Reposted bydreamer dreamer

August 28 2008

c3o
00:34
I can't stand people who try to pass off their ideas as ancient wisdom. As if that were a recommendation! The fifth-century Chinese philosopher Xiaoguang Li observed that ancient civilizations are revered, and yet ancient civilizations are not wise like venerable human elders are wise. A civilization further back in time is younger, not older. The current civilization is always the senior, because the present enjoys a longer history than the past.

Incidentally, does it change your opinion if I tell you that Xiaoguang "Mike" Li is actually a friend of mine who lives in the Bay Area?
Overcoming Bias: Zen and the Art of Rationality
Reposted bysnejcyphergianiacheshastridbrightbyterorqualmaru
c3o
00:14
Once you draw a boundary around a group, the mind starts trying to harvest similarities from the group. And unfortunately the human pattern-detectors seem to operate in such overdrive that we see patterns whether they're there or not; a weakly negative correlation can be mistaken for a strong positive one with a bit of selective memory.
Overcoming Bias: Categorizing Has Consequences

August 05 2008

c3o
02:13
Politics was a feature of the ancestral environment. We are descended from those who argued most persuasively that the tribe's interest — not just their own interest — required that their hated rival Uglak be executed.
We certainly aren't descended from Uglak, who failed to argue that his tribe's moral code — not just his own obvious self-interest — required his survival.
Overcoming Bias: Anthropomorphic Optimism
Reposted bytowoenkibrightbyte

August 03 2008

c3o
21:06
[When estimating how long a project will take,] deliberately avoid thinking about the special, unique features of this project, and just ask how long it took to finish broadly similar projects in the past. ... Better yet, ask an experienced outsider how long similar projects have taken.

You'll get back an answer that sounds hideously long, and clearly reflects no understanding of the special reasons why this particular task will take less time. This answer is true. Deal with it.
Overcoming Bias: Planning Fallacy
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