About
Tumblelog byChristopher Clay, founder of Soup.io.
hello@c3o.org / Twitter: c3o
wonder/marvel/learn
Was ist los in Wien?
My favorite posts (outdated)
Output so far
Heftling (2012?)
Luminous Flux (2012–) ♥
Mixtapes (2011)
27 (2010) ♥Team Armin Soyka (2010)
26 (2009) ♥
Startupwiki (2009–)
LIF (2008)
Soup (2007–) ♥
Netznetz (2007–2008)
Metalab (2006–) ♥
CanvasPaint (2006)
Design portfolio (2005)
Textcounter.org (2003)
PS: If I write about events, that's cause I'm inviting you to come along. Get in touch!
LIF (2008)
Soup (2007–) ♥
Netznetz (2007–2008)
Metalab (2006–) ♥
CanvasPaint (2006)
Design portfolio (2005)
Textcounter.org (2003)
PS: If I write about events, that's cause I'm inviting you to come along. Get in touch!
Accounts
Groups
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September 11 2011
“ If you sent me to an alternate universe where politicians were honest, bureaucrats cared, and voters weren’t so irrational—a world where good-idea policy initiatives tended to actually accomplish their stated goals without unexpected negative side effects—a world where the clear and visible end result of getting governments to do more and more was that economies grew faster and faster and people became happier and happier—then, in that world, I wouldn’t be a libertarian. ”— Eliezer Yudkowsky | Cato Unbound
Reposted by
thorben
thorben
January 22 2011
“ Procrastination by reading random articles does not cause you to rest: You do not regain mental energy from it. Success and happiness cause you to regain willpower; what you need to heal your mind from any damage sustained by working is not inactivity, but reliably solvable problems which reliably deliver experienced jolts of positive reinforcement. ”— Working hurts less than procrastinating, we fear the twinge of starting – Eliezer Yudkowsky @ Less Wrong
Reposted by
February 20 2009
Overcoming Bias: You Are Not Hiring the Top 1%
Statistical fallacy: The sample of people applying to your job/sending manuscripts to your publisher/applying to your educational program/applying for your grant/wanting to date you is likely biased towards the incompetent – because they apply at many more places, as well as more frequently.
Reposted by
philippe
philippe
December 17 2008
“ I'm not concerned with having more of me - really, there are plenty of me already - but I do want most of me to be having fun. ”— Have I mentioned I love Overcoming Bias?
December 12 2008
“ Intelligence is not about knowing lots of things, it's about being able to learn lots of things. ”— Overcoming Bias: What I Think, If Not Why (paraphrased)
Reposted by
November 26 2008
“ I think [it is] a sensible coping strategy for transhumanist atheists to donate to an anti-death charity after a loved one dies. Death hurt us, so we will unmake Death. Let that be the outlet for our anger, which is terrible and just. ”— Eliezer Yudkowsky
Reposted by
cypher
cypher
November 17 2008
“ [Real rebellion] doesn't feel like going to school dressed in black. It feels like going to school wearing a clown suit.— Overcoming Bias: Lonely Dissent
Joining a rebellion that everyone knows about is scary, but nowhere near as scary as doing something really differently. ”
via Derek Sivers
Reposted by
September 30 2008
“ One of the failure modes I've come to better understand in myself since observing it in others, is what I call, "living in the should-universe". The universe where everything works the way it common-sensically ought to, as opposed to the actual is-universe we live in. There's more than one way to live in the should-universe, and outright delusional optimism is only the least subtle. ”— Overcoming Bias: Above-Average AI Scientists
“ What is it that makes an executive? ... If I had to take a guess, I would call it "functioning without recourse" – living without any level above you to take over if you falter, or even to tell you if you're getting it wrong. To just get it done, even if the problem requires you to do something unusual, without anyone being there to look over your work and pencil in a few corrections. ”— Overcoming Bias: Competent Elites
Reposted by
dreamer
dreamer
August 28 2008
“ I can't stand people who try to pass off their ideas as ancient wisdom. As if that were a recommendation! The fifth-century Chinese philosopher Xiaoguang Li observed that ancient civilizations are revered, and yet ancient civilizations are not wise like venerable human elders are wise. A civilization further back in time is younger, not older. The current civilization is always the senior, because the present enjoys a longer history than the past.— Overcoming Bias: Zen and the Art of Rationality
Incidentally, does it change your opinion if I tell you that Xiaoguang "Mike" Li is actually a friend of mine who lives in the Bay Area? ”
Reposted by
“ Once you draw a boundary around a group, the mind starts trying to harvest similarities from the group. And unfortunately the human pattern-detectors seem to operate in such overdrive that we see patterns whether they're there or not; a weakly negative correlation can be mistaken for a strong positive one with a bit of selective memory. ”— Overcoming Bias: Categorizing Has Consequences
August 05 2008
“ Politics was a feature of the ancestral environment. We are descended from those who argued most persuasively that the tribe's interest — not just their own interest — required that their hated rival Uglak be executed.— Overcoming Bias: Anthropomorphic Optimism
We certainly aren't descended from Uglak, who failed to argue that his tribe's moral code — not just his own obvious self-interest — required his survival. ”
Reposted by
August 03 2008
“ [When estimating how long a project will take,] deliberately avoid thinking about the special, unique features of this project, and just ask how long it took to finish broadly similar projects in the past. ... Better yet, ask an experienced outsider how long similar projects have taken.— Overcoming Bias: Planning Fallacy
You'll get back an answer that sounds hideously long, and clearly reflects no understanding of the special reasons why this particular task will take less time. This answer is true. Deal with it. ”
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